Asian markets
started this week massively higher, they opened with gap and US futures rose as
well. Maybe it happened due to Larry Summers withdrew his name from
consideration for Chairman of FED. Many investors considered him to be a candidate
who likely cuts back the FED moves to stimulate the economy. I don't know it is
real behind or not, what I only know it is genuine bull market. The party is
not yet over that is my approach.
Some fact for
this morning:
Asia: Hang Seng
Index +1.31% , ASX 200 +0.63%, Nikkei +0.12%, Kospi +0.75%
US futures also
show strong starts: SP500 futures up 18.3 points to 1,700.30, Dow +168 points
to 15,479.
My bet is that
the bulls have arrived back after the summer consolidations. All markets across
the board on historical highs or pretty close to that levels. I do really think
the current bull market — many argues that— it is not over yet. SP500 will be
over 2.000? Nobody knows, but we are only 18% from that level.
Normally the markets has four phases in the bullish sentiment:
1. reluctance
2. consolidation
3. acceptance
4. exuberance
In the history
the biggest moves are in phase of Reluctance and Exuberance. So, we are still
far from that euphoria. In Bullish Sentiment index of professional investors
has fallen to 50% from 67% in this August, while the Individual Investors' poll
last week showed a narrow 35%-31% split between bulls and bears. I think this
lack of euphoria might help us extending this bull market sentiment.
I love Laszlo
Birinyi, President of Birinyi Associates’s quote:
“We still
haven’t gotten to the [year] 2000“ level of euphoria, he said. “I think once
you get to the point where you have a page-one story, that’s where you get a
good surge.” Or maybe when it makes the cover of Time magazine. “That’s what I
call capitulation…., which I see at market tops” as well as bottoms, he said.
And because we haven’t seen it yet, does that mean the bull market could go
on.
Technically: No
comment. It is so bullish just look at
the SP500 chart:
Have a good trading week!
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